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I Issue 02 ♦February 2007

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Previous Issues

A snapshot of India’s economic scene

Green miracle powers revision of 2005-06 GDP growth figures

First-half estimates for current fiscal likely to change. The government revised the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate for 2005-06 from 8.4 per cent to 9 per cent, mainly to account for a 54 per cent revision in agricultural growth from 3.9 to 6 per cent, in its quick estimates for the fiscal. Union Finance Minister said, “The revised figures augur well for 2006-07, although I must caution that we will have to see its impact on growth figures this year.” A higher GDP base for 2005-06 could lower the 9.1 per cent growth estimates for the first half of 2006-07. Also notable is an increase in the estimates for savings from 31.1 per cent of GDP to 32.4 per cent. Gross capital formation also improved from 30.2 per cent to 32.2 per cent during the period.

Tata Steel in global arena with Corus win

After seven and a half hours of intense bidding, Tata Steel emerged victorious in the battle for Corus Group, quoting 608 pence a share, about a third higher than its first offer in October last year. The jubilation was marred as the stock market, amid fears that Tata Steel may have overpaid, beat the stock down 11 per cent on the Bombay Stock Exchange. Besides, global rating agency Standard & Poor’s put its BBB long-term corporate credit rating on credit watch with negative implications. Meanwhile, CSN gained 6.2 per cent in Sao Paulo and Corus climbed 7 per cent in London. Tata will pay $12.15 billion in cash for the Anglo-Dutch steelmaker, making it the largest acquisition by an Indian company and the second largest in the industry after Mittal Steel’s $38.3 billion acquisition of Arcelor.

PC sales hit a high note at 3 million units in H1, financial year 2007

Fuelled by a strong demand in telecom, banking and financial sectors and a drop in PC prices due to the onslaught of new technologies, India’s computer sales, desktops and notebooks combined, touched 2.96 million units in the first half of fiscal 2007, a growth of 19% over the same period the previous year.  The buoyant buying sentiment is likely to continue in the second half, pushing PC sales for the full year 2006-07 to 6.5 million units, about 30% jump over five million units sold in 2005-06. The forecast includes 5.6 million units of desktop sales, and 0.9 million units of notebook sales. This will take India’s total installed base for computers to 20 million.

Government for 100 per cent FDI in higher education

The government backed 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) in higher education in India, saying that the same national rules will apply to foreign universities wishing to set up bases in the country and hinted that it could also include mandatory reservations for certain sections. "The government has proposed 100 per cent FDI in higher education in all institutions," Higher Education Secretary said, while alluding to India's World Trade Organisation commitments made in 2003. He said this at the Editors' Conference on Social Sector Issues when he was asked to clarify whether the government was considering a cap of 50 per cent FDI in higher education. The Group of Ministers (GoM), headed by Human Resource Development Minister, will be mapping out the rules and regulations that will govern foreign universities setting up their campuses in India. The GoM will submit its recommendations soon. Although the government has supported 100 per cent FDI, in practice stringent regulations would ensure that foreign universities collaborate with a local partner and only prestigious and well-known universities will be allowed in, reliable sources said.

Birla buys US based metal major for US$ 6 billion

Kumar Mangalam Birla-controlled Hindalco Industries, the country’s largest aluminium producer, announced the acquisition of Atlanta-based Novelis for an enterprise value of nearly $6 billion in cash, which will help it gain large customers like Coca-Cola, Ford and General Motors. Codenamed Red Socks, the deal envisages a payment of $44.93 per share, which is 16.5 per cent more than its last closing prices, to Novelis shareholders, amounting to a total of $3.5 billion. In addition, Hindalco will take on its books Novelis’ debt of $2.4 billion. The acquisition, which requires approval of 66 per cent of Novelis’ shareholders, is expected to be completed by the second quarter of 2007. The Novelis board has recommended the offer to its shareholders, largely financial institutions. “The acquisition will catapult the group into the Fortune 500 league, three years ahead of the target. The combination of Hindalco and Novelis will establish a global integrated aluminium producer,” Birla said.

India zooms past China

India has emerged as the most favoured private equity destination attracting $1,239.22 million worth investments in January, surpassing Asian giants like China and Japan, a study says. India ranks top in terms of PE investments in January-February and has left behind Asian giants like China with $ 609 million and Japan with USD 980 million, according to a report by Asian Venture Capital Journal (AVCJ). The report, on Asia-Pacific emerging as the most attractive region for investment said, the total Asian private equity capital under management rose by almost 30 per cent in 2006 to $158 billion as compared to $122 billion in 2005.

Italian companies in India: Italia Marittima

Italia Marittima, which was earlier known as Lloyd Triestino, started its shipping services to the port at Mumbai (Maharashtra) in 1870 and is one of the oldest shipping companies operating from India. It enjoys the unique distinction of being the first foreign shipping company to be permitted by the Government of India to open its own Branch Office in Mumbai in 1949. The company started its Indian operations in the bulk cargo and passenger service segments and migrated later to container services. Lloyd Triestino or Italia Marittima S.p.A (acronym ITS), offers services from Mumbai's Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust (JNPT) and Nhava Sheva International Container Terminal to the Mediterranean, Europe Australia and US East Coast via Colombo and to Australia via Singapore. The Mumbai Branch Office directly looks after the traffic generated to and from Mumbai and Nhava Sheva ports. It also offers services to/from inland container depots (ICDs) at New Delhi, Ahmedabad (Gujarat), Hyderabad (Andhra Pradesh), Bangalore (Karnataka) and Coimbatore (Tamil Nadu) through its agents, Patvolk, a division of Forbes Gokak Limited.

Indian banks storm loan syndication abroad

With the best of India Inc flocking to overseas loan markets for funds, Indian banks have started following their top customers. For the first time, two Indian lenders — ICICI Bank and State Bank of India — figure among the top five in the league tables for loan syndication. With this, Indian banks have stormed one more bastion of foreign banks which have led loan syndication tables for years. In 2006, French bank Calyon emerged as the number one bank for loan syndication with 31 deals of $1.23 billion. ICICI Bank and SBI emerged as the number three with 13 deals ($1.01 billion) and number five with 17 deals ($951 million), respectively, according to `basis point’ — a journal that tracks syndication deals. However, these deals also include loans to corporates and financial institutions. “In 2004, we were barely there. In 2005, we were number four,” says Chanda Kochhar, deputy managing director ICICI Bank. “We build up this capacity in the last couple of years and are today the largest in overseas loan syndication to Indian corporates.” She pointed out that a large chunk of business from the banking industry was not available to ICICI Bank since ICICI Bank itself was the biggest issuer of debt among Indian banks in 2006.

India, Italy to double trade by 2009

Indian and Italian firms signed several joint venture agreements, as the two countries aimed to more than double bilateral trade by 2009. The two countries set a target of $10 billion in bilateral trade by 2009, up from $4.4 billion in 2005/06. Italy is India's fourth-largest trading partner in the European Union. Cooperation between Indian and Italian firms covers areas including apparel and luxury goods, automobiles and finance. Italian Prime Minister Romano Prodi led a 500-member business delegation to India's financial hub, Mumbai, the largest to visit India so far.

India drives global business confidence to 5-year high

Dynamism in emerging markets, mainly India, has driven the global business confidence to a five-year-high, a survey by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) says. The EIU’s fifth annual CEO briefing survey found that nine out of 10 top global executives rated business prospects during the next three years as "good" or "very good". The main drivers behind the optimism among global business executives were the bustling emerging markets especially — India and China. In the survey, a majority of the 1,006 executives from around the world are planning to invest more in developing countries than in developed economies. One of the key findings of the survey shows that India is more upbeat than China. Respondents from India are abuzz with optimism for the years ahead, with 98 per cent of them seeing "good" or "very good" business prospects.

India on world radar for investments

India's robust economic growth has put the country on the world radar for attracting investments from global investors, Commerce and Industry Minister said. 'India is on the world radar as never before, thanks to the current robust economic growth. No investor wants surprises, but they want improvements. And that is what we promise to deliver,' the Minister told about 750 business delegates from 26 countries participating in the three-day CII partnership summit. 'The time for surprises is over. Now, we shall give you constant improvement and betterment.' Asserting there could not have been a better time to engage with India, he said the reforms process was being widened and deepened to provide opportunities to businesses from the world over. 'The foreign direct investment (FDI) regime is getting progressively liberalised. The regulatory mechanisms are being strengthened and overseas investments in key areas of infrastructure are being made most welcome,' the minister pointed out.

US$ 650 million FDI cleared

The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) cleared a $500million foreign direct investment proposal by Indonesia-based Salim and Ciputra groups-promoted New Kolkata International Development Private Ltd. The investment will be for setting up infrastructure projects, including special economic zones, in Left-ruled West Bengal. Finance Minister said the CCEA approved the proposal as it involved FDI inflows worth more than Rs 6000 million. “The exact nature of investment would depend on the agreement between the investors and the state government,” Minister said. He added that the project, which has been approved on the recommendations of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board, would also involve an Indian equity partner, with the Salim Group holding 40% stake in the joint venture company.

US$ 60 billion IT exports by 2010 in sight

The ebullient results of software biggies in the last quarter have triggered a buzz that the target of $60 billion worth of software exports by 2009-10, dubbed ambitious when first talked of by Nasscom, is well within reach. Software exports stood at $23.6 billion in 2005-06. Over 90 per cent of the revenue comes from exports. The results assume more significance in the last quarter (ended December 31, 2006) because the billing days were lower compared with other quarters and rupee appreciation was to the order of 2-3 per cent, which ate into profitability.

 

 

 

Forbes 2007 Indian billionaires


By sheer numbers, Indians topped the list of richest people in Asia of whom Forbes placed Lakshmi Mittal, Mukesh Ambani and Anil Ambani in the ultra elite global top 20. The combined wealth of Indian billionaires, including familiar names like Azim Premji, K P Singh, Sunil Mittal, Shashi and Ravi Ruia, Pallonji Mistry and Adi Godrej, swelled to USD 191 billion. Mukesh Ambani and his brother Anil Ambani breached into the top 20 richest list with a net worth of USD 20.1 billion and USD 18.2 billion respectively. Forbes ranked Lakshmi Mittal, whose steel empire has earned him USD 32 billion, the fifth richest person on the planet.

India emerging as new business destination

 

India is emerging as the new destination for American business after China with several states planning to send trade missions to take advantage of its "fast-growing market". Governors from Virginia and Iowa have been there, and Minnesota, California and Utah are lining up gubernatorial visits for this year, according to Michael Taylor of the US-India Business Alliance that helped organise the earlier missions. Minnesota's Republican Governor is planning to lead a 30-member trade mission to India Oct 20-27 with stops in New Delhi, Bangalore and Mumbai. "We view this as a tremendous opportunity to better acquaint Minnesota with India and better acquaint India with Minnesota," said Pawlenty announcing the trip to a country that now makes up a tiny fraction of Minnesota's roughly $14 billion in annual manufactured exports.

IT services exports touch US$ 24 billion

 

India's exports of IT services, BPO and electronic hardware are estimated to have touched $23.6 billion during the first nine months of the current financial year. Software and ITeS exports accounted for more than 90% of the overall kitty. Electronic hardware exports have logged a growth rate of 38.8% at $2.1 billion during April-December financial year 2007, compared to $1.5 billion grossed in the corresponding period of the previous year. IT software and IT-enabled services (ITeS) exports, which enjoy a lion’s share of the high-tech export booty, registered $21.5 billion during the period, a growth of 28.2% over the year-ago period.

German companies in India: Carl Bechem Lubricants

 

In India, Carl Bechem manufactures and markets high performance speciality lubricants (speciality lubricants constitute around 5 per cent of the overall US$ 18.2 billion lubricants market), metal working fluids, open gear lubricants and food and pharmaceutical grade lubricants. With India's manufacturing sector growing at an average annual rate of 6 percent per year in the 14 years between 1990-91 and 2003-04, Carl Bechem products have enjoyed a high demand market. The company expects to grow to a size of US$ 11.25 million over the next 5 years.

Japanese companies in India: Stanley Electric

Stanley Electric Company, a manufacturer of vehicle lighting and illumination products, holds a 19 per cent share in Lumax Industries, which makes automobile lights and gear shifters. With more than 60 per cent of the market share in Indian automobile lighting business, the company has been a major beneficiary of the significant growth in the auto sector. Further, the company is expected to benefit as higher number of vehicles being launched will directly benefit the company.

Economy set to grow at 9.2 per cent

 

Continued buoyancy in manufacturing and services will see the Indian economy grow 9.2 per cent in 2006-07, making it the second consecutive year that the economy has grown at this rate, according to advance estimates of national income from the government’s Central Statistical Organisation (CSO). These numbers come a week after the government revised 2005-06 GDP growth from 8.4 per cent to 9 per cent. They surpass initial CSO estimates of 8.1 per cent and Reserve Bank’s revised estimates of 8.5-9 per cent. This is also the fastest growth since 1989.

FDI inflow may double in 2007

 

Inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) into India have increased significantly during the current financial year, according to the Minister of Commerce and Industry. The inflows are likely to be more than double the amount recorded in 2006, said Minister while presiding over the meeting of the parliamentary consultative committee. FDI equity inflows during April 2006 to November 2006 were $7.2 billion, which is the highest ever for equity capital since economic liberalisation. Minister said that monthly inflows this fiscal crossed $1 billion during July, October and November 2006. The higher inflows as well as the new credit rating reflected growing investor confidence in India, the Minister added. According to him, FDI inflows by the end of this fiscal would reach $12 billion. This means an unparalleled growth of 120% over the previous year.

Genpact plans India's largest IPO in US

 

India's largest BPO company has finalised its IPO plans in the US markets. Genpact will raise between $500-$600 million. This will be the largest IPO by an Indian company in the US. Economic Times had earlier reported that Genpact was planning an IPO. Now it is confirmed that the company is going ahead with its plan for a listing its shares on the New York Stock Exchange. Genpact officials refused to comment. Pramod Bhasin, CEO of Genpact, refused to talk on the issue at all. Genpact board has already approved the issue and merchant bankers Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have been appointed for the issue. The public issue is important as Genpact is the largest BPO company from India, and the issue will fulfil the huge demand for Indian BPO shares in the US market. The issue will also affect the valuations and demand for two other Indian BPO firms that went public last year — WNS got listed on NYSE, and EXL Services, got listed on Nasdaq. Both WNS and EXL saw a huge demand for their shares when they went public, even after the issue, they command very high valuations.

Global airplane makers bullish on Indian skies

 

With the central government poised to hold a mega conference with the states on developing around 300 unutilised airstrips across the country, airplane makers are raising the projections for jets required for regional connectivity. Apart from the big boys - the US-based Boeing and Europe’s Airbus - Embraer (Brazil), Bombardier (Canada), Sukhoi (Russia), ATR (France) and BAE System (UK) are gearing up to tap the emerging regional jet market in the country. Union Civil Aviation Minister Praful Patel said the opening up of unused airstrips would boost greater regional connectivity and for that India would require at least 1,500-2,000 airplanes over the next 10 years.

Rolls-Royce in pact with IISc for 'greener' engines

 

British aerospace major Rolls-Royce has tied up with the Indian Institute of Science (IISc), Bangalore, and Imperial College of the UK to work alongside in a new research project to develop alloys for use in 'greener' aircraft engines. Speaking to reporters, British High Commissioner to India, said, the research programme was part of the UK-India Education and Research Initiative (UKIERI) Award that encouraged links between the our two countries. "The research will help make products that are both environment-friendly and built for aircraft of the future," he said.

'Sunil Mittal Asia's Businessman of Year'

 

India's Sunil Mittal has been adjudged Asia's Businessman of the Year by US magazine Fortune for steering his telecom business in the world's fastest growing wireless market. In a lead article in its latest issue, Fortune said after establishing Bharti Airtel as India's number one mobile service provider, Mittal is now forging his "most audacious" foreign partnership yet. "In November, he announced that Bharti will team with Wal-Mart to transform India's under-developed retail market," the report said. The magazine said it was an easy choice to declare Mittal as Asia's top leader for his business acumen and some crucial agreements he has signed in recently.

India emerges fourth-biggest M&A target

 

While domestic corporate giants such as Tatas, Ambani and Ranbaxy are continuously looking abroad for mergers and acquisitions, India has emerged as the fourth-biggest target in the Asia-Pacific IT space with deals worth over 3.5 billion dollars in 2006. Total merger and acquisition activities in Asia-Pacific technology sector totalled 35.1 billion dollars in 2006. Indian companies were target in deals worth 10 per cent of the total value, data compiled by global financial information provider Dealogic shows. Taiwan was the most targeted nation with deals worth 12.2 billion dollars through 76 transactions, followed by Japan with seven billion dollars in 441 deals and China with 5.1 billion dollars in 275 deals, Dealogic data shows. According to global consultancy major Grant Thorton, total number of M&A deals in the Indian IT space had reached 50 in the first ten months of 2006 itself, resulting in total volume of 1.47 billion dollars. In contrast, there had been only 22 M&A deals in 2005 in the Indian IT space with a total value of 244 million dollars.

Citi Property to invest US$ 120 million in luxury hotels

The New York-based Citigroup Property Investors (CPI) will invest up to $120 million in Bangalore-based Nitesh Estates' luxury hotels. Chairman of the Nitesh Group, confirmed that Citigroup Properties would partner with Nitesh Estates on its forthcoming hotel properties but declined to give details. Sources close to the development said CPI has already committed itself to 30 per cent stake in the group's recently announced $100 million five-star hotel property on Bangalore's Residency Road. CPI, which is among the biggest private equity investors in the Indian real estate, will take up a similar stake in forthcoming properties, sources said. Nitesh group is planning to build four more hotels in Goa, Chennai, Hyderabad and Kochi. The group is believed to have acquired land in Goa and is in the process of acquiring land in other locations. CPI has already invested close to $250 million in India and has plans of investing a further $500 million. Of this, around 40 per cent is expected to be invested in hotels and service apartments. The Nitesh group had earlier received an infusion of $100 million from a Singapore-based fund for its luxury residential property in Bangalore.

 

UK's Caparo plans US$ 195.4 million India spread

Caparo, the UK-based speciality steel and engineering group headed by Lord Swaraj Paul — the Labour peer — plans to spend over £100 million on acquisitions and greenfield projects in India. Having completed two acquisitions in India, Caparo has initiated the process to set up eight manufacturing facilities. “I’ve been saying for 25 years that India is going to be a big manufacturing country and it is now coming true,” Lord Paul told Economic Times.Caparo plans to invest its cash in India over the next 3 to 4 years in building up to eight new plants, over and above the four it already operates in the country. The aim is to expand Caparo’s sales in India from £25 million last year to £130 million in 2008 and, in the process, boost employment in its India plants. Caparo’s new facilities are coming up in Chennai, Pitampur, Bawal, Noida and Gurgaon.

 

 

   

Some Important Websites:

Ministry of External Affairs :  http://meaindia.nic.in/

Ministry of Finance: http://finmin.nic.in

Ministry of Commerce and Industry:http://commin.nic.in

Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) : www.ciionline.org

Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry (FICCI) : www.ficci.com

India Trade Promotion Organisation (ITPO) : www.indiatradepromotion.org

Trade-India.com : www.trade-india.com / Indian Exporters : www.indianexporters.com
Exporters India : www.indiamarkets.com /  India Mart : www.indiamart.com